In every sport, there are popular gaming theories that best suit its individual characteristics. The chasing strategy in tennis betting is one of such theories. It is one of the most aggressive and risky gaming theories, but in tennis, with adherence to certain rules and caution, one can achieve success over the long term.
The essence of the “chasing” theory, as presented by MostBet in their betting strategy, is to repeatedly bet on similar types of wagers in order to recoup previous losses and come out ahead when winning. The strategy is based on continuously increasing the bet amount in the event of a consecutive loss. However, this moment carries a risk — in the case of a prolonged losing streak, one may lose the entire gaming bank before achieving a win. To avoid this, observe several rules:
It is important to have strong nerves and self-control
Having a large gaming bank automatically increases the number of stages in the theory and mitigates a prolonged series of losses.
Pay more attention to women’s tournaments, which are more unpredictable compared to men’s tournaments.
Select events with odds exceeding 2.0.
Choose matches where the opponents are roughly equal.
Do not skip stages in the case of a series of losses — a missed stage may turn out to be a winning one.
Select the bookmaker carefully: when playing “chasing” on the exact score 40:40, “Betcity” will be the most suitable, while “Pari-Match” will not be suitable at all.
Before starting to place bets in real games, test the theory on paper several times due to the increased risk of “chasing.”
Varieties of “chasing” in tennis betting
There are many varieties of “chasing” in tennis betting, but only a few combine justified risk and a good chance of winning.
On the server
There is no point in chasing the victory of a powerful server in a game on their own serve — bookmakers offer low odds in the range of 1.10-1.20. It is worth paying attention to matches where there is an obvious favorite and an outsider, but the difference in the current level of play is not huge.
For young bettors who are not well-versed in the level of play of many strong tennis players, we recommend paying attention to matches where there is a slight drift on the outsider. Drift against the favorite without grounds is a rare occurrence. In most cases, this suggests that the outsider is capable of giving worthy resistance to the favorite and taking some of their serves, and sometimes even winning the match.
Do not blindly rely on the experience and instincts of other bettors — conduct your own analysis of the match to understand the basis for the drift on the outsider. If the drift has a solid foundation, review a few games of the first set of the match to confirm the correctness of the drift and bet on the serving outsider. The main thing is the odds within 2.0.
On the receiver
Here, the idea is to bet on the break of the losing player, for which bookmakers often offer high odds.
Focus primarily on women’s tennis
The main task is to carefully select a pair of players who do not have a strong serve, while being in roughly equal form. As soon as one of the participants in the match, preferably the outsider, loses their serve, bet on the break of the losing player.
Not always the odds offered by bookmakers in the line reflect the real balance of power. The example above is taken from a pair with an obvious favorite — the average odds for their victory were 1.25. And such a number of breaks (3) was made by the outsider in one set. The main thing is to correctly assess the current form of the participants in the match, which analysts of betting companies do not always do correctly. Such mistakes are often made during qualification and the first round of the main draw after qualification.
Game chasing
The bet is placed each time on the victory of the tennis player in the game on their own serve. It is recommended to observe several rules:
- focus on men’s tennis;
- choose a pair where there is no clear favorite;
- bet on the victory of a tennis player who is in good form and has a decent percentage of winning their serves.
Under the specified conditions, bookmakers usually offer odds of 1.50-1.60 for the victory of the serving player. Here, the amount of the first bet equals 1% of the gaming bank. A complete loss occurs if 5 consecutive bets are lost, at such odds on the 6th step, the gaming bank will not be enough.
It is not often that a tennis player in good form with a decent serve loses more than 5 of their serves in a row. To reduce the risk of loss, experienced bettors suggest waiting until the suitable player has lost 2-3 of their serves.
On the winner
The vast majority of bettors try to bet each time on the victory of a strong player from the top 50, but you can encounter a problem: the odds for the victory of a tennis player in a number of matches do not exceed 1.50. You can bet on the victory at odds of 1.45, and in the next match, the odds for them will be 1.20. The bettor risks large sums for a paltry win.
Here, you can use a clever trick again: wait until the player loses 2-3 matches against obvious favorites, and each time subsequently bet on their victory.
On the total
When playing this type of bet, there is a division:
- total games of the set or match;
- individual total of the tennis player.
When playing on totals, always look for options with a high coefficient.
Chasing on the individual total of a low-ranking player is very popular when meeting an obvious favorite.
Betting on the victory of the clear outsider in the match with more than 9.5 games, the bookmaker offers 1.98. In such a situation, the outsider must put up serious resistance to the obvious favorite, and the total will largely be achieved if the outsider wins one set.
- Here, the bettor chooses a low-ranking tennis player and bets on their ITM in every match where they are a complete outsider. Not in every match does the weak player offer worthy competition to strong opponents, often performing poorly.
Advantages and disadvantages
The chasing strategy in tennis can bring good results. But when playing, always remember its strengths and weaknesses.
Advantages:
- with more losses than wins, you can stay in the black.
Disadvantages:
- with a prolonged losing streak, the user risks large sums for a small win;
- when the losing streak becomes excessively long, there is a high probability of losing the entire gaming bank;
- with a large number of consecutive losses, a player with weak nerves may lose control and lose everything.
There are more disadvantages and possible negative consequences outweigh the presumed winnings, but this does not stop bettors who actively use the chasing strategy.
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